AllDayFaders Lesson on Volume Forecast

Huge thanks to AllDayFaders, a.k.a. DA MAN, for his contribution to the evolution of the junkie gamer generation into a major contributor to market liquidity ! Taken straight out of the @team3dstocks (AllDayFaders) Twitter posts:

“Around 10am a clean all day fader should be at no more than 40-60% of its volume forecast. $FRAN is currently at 53% of its volume forecast. $GRAF at 51% $VERO at 56% $JOB at 91% lol. Go figure

$JOB ebony was broken premarket, so Ivory is the only line of defense, at $2.09

$JOB now at 178% of its volume forecast. and it’s only 11:20am. And sure enough, look at this fuckboy behavior instead of the clean all day fade. you’re finally starting to see how volume forecast is the short seller’s best friend lol. #study

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

A bullish lowfloat setup is simply when a bearish lowfloat setup fails to die by 10am, breaks its volume forecast (for that time of day), and (if applicable) breaks & holds a high volume #vwapBoulevard . Also search my tweets on the #youGonLearnToday setup #BearTipOfTheDay

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Dana Ashforth

@DanaAshforth Aug 5, 2021

Replying to @team3dstocks

Bearish low float it’s a giveaway but how do you identify/scan for a bullish low float?

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

Be careful. if u check my rules for alldayfaders u know im not a big fan of stocks that didnt gap up huge & are crushing their volume forecast by 10am.

$VTVT ‘s VF is 34.6M, & it’s already at 41M. too risky. Wait for #vwapBoulevard $3.89 to fail, or for the usual 1-3pm selloff t.co/zJk4tcEBVJ

AllDayFaders
@team3dstocks

Replying to @team3dstocks
$VTVT and now every single shortseller since premarket is staring at a negative unrealized PNL. dont say i didnt warn u. the data doesnt lie. Volume forecast doesnt either Move out of the way & wait to see if #vwapBoulevard rejects or not. dont try to anticiipate it either. WAIT
AllDayFaders
@team3dstocks

$VTVT that was a #vwapBoulevard rejection (12 cents away) .. and we’re also approaching the 1-3pm end of day selloff zone. so wait for a retest and fail of the 3.50-3.70 area (to avoid bear traps), and if it stays heavy/fails under there = drop the hammer
AllDayFaders
@team3dstocks


$VTVT Ideal target is the usual 5min 200ma (ideal target for all lowfloat short setups). Stop loss is above #vwapBoulevard (above $3.89) . DO NOT fight it if it reclaims that level. Also since it was manipulated midday, dont hold it overnight (u should never hold a LF o/n anyway)

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

from my experience AND the overwhelming data, the BEST intraday long setups almost ALWAYS happen after 10am. that’s why if im short a stock and it’s still consolidating above VWAP after 10am, + beating its volume forecast for that time, i close the trade immediately or downsize.

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Ramon Del Villar, Jr

@pelonsax

Jun 12, 2021

Replying to @team3dstocks

My biggest wins have been long side trades that started consolidating in the morning, and soon after, ripped above PM highs like a hot knife through butter and ran all day long, sometimes selling off at the close only to rip higher in the AH. Some even went multi day.

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

from my experience AND the overwhelming data, the BEST intraday long setups almost ALWAYS happen after 10am. that’s why if im short a stock and it’s still consolidating above VWAP after 10am, + beating its volume forecast for that time, i close the trade immediately or downsize.

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Ramon Del Villar, Jr

@pelonsax

Jun 12, 2021

Replying to @team3dstocks

My biggest wins have been long side trades that started consolidating in the morning, and soon after, ripped above PM highs like a hot knife through butter and ran all day long, sometimes selling off at the close only to rip higher in the AH. Some even went multi day.

AllDayFaders
@team3dstocks


Replying to @team3dstocks
that’s b/c a stock with significantly more supply than demand should be getting SLAUGHTERED and near its LOD by 10am. with all the bulls from the open trapped and providing additional supply on every pop as bagholders. if they’re not trapped, then guess who is.

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks
·



Remember, most shortsellers trade MASSIVE size, and when u’re on that kind of size u cant just “stop out” without massive slippage. ESPECIALLY after 10am where liquidity on the offer dries up faster than 90yr old pussy. This creates a domino effect once the stock starts to uptick

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

if u dont believe me, ask any other shortseller (who trades enough size ofcourse) how hard it is to close out a huge short position when the stock is near its highs post 10am. ESPECIALLY if it’s a lowfloat. the offers feel like snowflakes. even a tiny partial cover causes upticks

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

combine that with idiot stock pumping chat rooms who are ready to chase every HOD breakout, and u have urself a massive supply/demand imbalance (everyone chasing the offer, but not enough liquidity to fill everyone’s orders. so the stock keeps ripping). so bulls, take notes.

@jmftattoo

Replying to

@team3dstocks

I’ve really been pushing in our room for the newer traders to sit on their hands till after 10. Trying to show with data it’s that move AFTER the big opening move that makes the real bread on the long side. That post 10 am trade. But man they all want to chase that first spike

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

$PPSI 4pm volume forecast reached, 4 hours early. i wonder why. Anyway the float is too small so whoever is manipulating this will have to dump it before the close to avoid SEC scrutiny as usual. if not, still a win/win for lowfloat since it’ll spark more gappers tmr. win/win

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

$KXIN yup. it literally reached its 4pm volume forecast at 10am. I wonder what could go wrong. same shit different day but hey.. stubborn shorts love to ignore volume at their own peril.

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Drob8

@Drob814

·

Oct 19, 2020

Replying to @team3dstocks

EOD forecast volume reached within 1st hour

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

As I said.. $KXIN same shit different day. anyone who read my gazillion tweets on how lowfloat manipulation and volume forecast works knows the protocol: Move out of the way Let others get buttfucked. Hammer on backside once demand peaks.

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

Ok, clearing out all the rumors. Contrary to popular belief, i dont make a SINGLE penny from this. They reverse engineered my lowfloat Volume Forecast indicator using the hints & clues I left behind for everyone, & respectfully asked if they could offer it due to the demand.

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ScriptsToTrade

@scriptstotrade

·

Oct 27, 2021

🚨 LETS GO! 🚨 True to our word, we are opening 50 seats to the highly popular Volume Forecast indicator! (Pioneered by @team3dstocks). These seats are first come, first served until sold out. Don’t miss out! https://scriptstotrade.com/collections/volume-forecast-credit-alldayfaders…

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christian wolff

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

I agreed and declined every compensation offer, like I always do, because I couldnt care less about the money. If i did i wouldve sold it myself long ago. They saw a need/demand and decided to fill it, and they FULLY deserve to be compensated for it. That’s capitalism 101.

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

I know it’s hard for the communists out there to grasp this, but when people work hard to provide a service or product, they SHOULD GET PAID. U like ur smartphone? u like ur PC? ur car? ur social media apps? well then stop bitching about entrepreneurs. They have my FULL support.

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

they already released a whole #vwapBoulevard indicator for FREE !!

@ZachHurwitz

released one as well. So there is PLENTY of free shit out there already. at some point, let motherfuckers get paid for the work they do. The world needs more entrepreneurs, not less. Rant over.

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Omar

@shkhnnotstirred

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

I was able to reverse engineer it also. He shares a lot of information that make it very clear if you work hard and want it badly enough.

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Xiuying

@Xiuying

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

Random question. Would you be fine with a TOS version of your Volume Forecast being released into the wild ?

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DireWolf

@DireWol66052911

·

Replying to

@Xiuying

and

@team3dstocks

Would be amazing. The free attempts I have seen for TOS lack. I think I understand the premises and data, but am completely code illiterate to create. Really want it. Not sure why trading view is limited, or I’d sign up. Think someone will reverse engineer them soon though.

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Xiuying

@Xiuying

·

Replying to

@DireWol66052911

and

@team3dstocks

In some cases, it’s not that hard to do as long as you have the basic understanding of their half-assed code(Thinkscript/PineScript), but in a lot of cases it comes down to if the platform actually allows it. It’s the main issue I’m having porting scripts over to Webull atm.

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

I answered this so many times. High volume (relative to the forecast) doesnt mean the stock wont fade. it means a squeeze is coming. So lock gains, let shorts get squeezed,, then get back in once demand peaks (usually in the afternoon since the soaker HAS to sell before the close

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

$EYES because the best faders have SO much supply that they die either preM or by 10am, with weak volume forecast perf. If those 2 criteria are not met, then 99% chance the stock is being accumulated by a firm w/ an agenda. That’s why i tweeted “STOP OUT IMMEDIATELY” at 10:10am

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Michael Tran

@TsunamiiTrader

·

Mar 7, 2021

Replying to @team3dstocks

Many shorts thrive on tickers that jumps 150-200% with failed follow through momo. I understand your initial thesis level $2.56 but why not $4.25 as it clearly grind and trapped for the parabolic on exhausted volume?

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christian wolff

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

Notice I didnt say “give it some time” or “be patient”. No, i said IMMEDIATELY. It then went from $2.56 to $9.89. Once u spot that a LF stock is being accumulated, dont fight & re-enter etc. Ur papercuts will add up. LET THEM do their job!! They have more BP & inside info than u.

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Herv Trades

@HervTrades

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

just posted my analysis of $EYES if you’re interested!

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WesternTrade20

@westerntrade20

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

I saw this too. Glad I avoided. Made this tweet at 9:52 ET. The tape was churning and zero movement so it was a clear avoid for me.

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Read my rules on lowfloats. $XBIO didnt gapup big enough so u shouldnt have been short at the open anyway. 2nd, volume forecast warned before the squeeze (as usual), so what do my rules state? wait for shorts to get squeezed & comeback for #vwapBoulevard or 1-3pm #bloodbath setup

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Michal Mierkowski

@mm98trader

·

Jul 23, 2021

Replying to @team3dstocks

Hey adf, what are you thoughts on float rotation/overcrowdedness/volume forecasting when it comes to this pattern? Is there still edge? Or should one just be really prepared to cut, and flip long if it holds vwapB?

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Nope. $AMTX was 80% ADF score. so it was still in the B setup range (80-89% score). Sexy thing about it (other than the neg BV and neg NWC bonus) was the dilution and SEXY volume forecast. It’s not every day we get a perfect reading like this.

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2Times Alex

@2TimesAlex

·

Dec 22, 2020

Replying to @team3dstocks

Was AMTX a 99% today?

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

For my lowfloat peeps, $DYNT pretty high ADF score.. but best to let other shorts test the waters first in case it traps. Drop Mjolnir if 2.75 fails (vwap from feb 28 as i always teach)

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

$DYNT lol ..gotta love those mega high ADF score setups. broke 2.75 as mentioned and never looked back. Also checkout the volume forecast porn ; ). Shit like this is why lowfloats will always have a special place in my heart. #myBabies #myFirstLove

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

I get this question a lot. No, surprisingly volume forecast didnt have to adjust a bit even with all this insane volume lately. Reason is because I built it based off velocity, not total amount. so it doesnt matter if volume is 10M or 100M. it’s the rate of increase that matters. https://t.co/60rnVqFrjS

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christian wolff

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

So if the volume forecast (how much volume the stock should have at 4pm) is 100M, and early in the day you’re only at 40M, that’s WEAKNESS, even though 40M is actually a big number. Conversely, if the VF is 10M but the stock is already at 8M early in the day, that’s STRENGTH.

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

How do u trade both scenarios? When volume forecast shows weakness, high chance of alldayfader, so get aggressive. When it shows strength, high chance of fuckboy shit. So let other shorts get squeezed 1st, then attack backside once demand peaks or trend breaks #BearTipOfTheDay

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

$DTSS For exits, I use my volume forecast to help w/ patience. As long as the demand (volume) is going as expected, a “high ADF score” stock will continue to fade all day. Example notice how the forecast was 60.7M, and it only traded 57M. Stress free fader, worth the $0.19 borrow

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Safe_ Trader

@StatBear

·

Aug 3, 2020

Replying to @team3dstocks

are you basing your exit on the V vs VF %?

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christian wolff

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

Now if the forecast says “60M by 4pm” and the stock is already at 50-55M super early in the day, well that tells you that demand is higher than expected. and u might end up with some crazy amount like 80 or 100M by 4pm. That’s a cue for me to take profits at first sign of fuckery

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CavemanTrades

@cavemantrading

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

by the time it squeezes its to late, that’s why he still preaches price action over everything. Here was my forecast today. These 200 million runners lately have took a crap on original.

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wow. solid write up. this guy did what im pretty much too busy to do. he summarized a lot of my tweets on alldayfaders, #vwapBoulevard , volume forecast, supply/demand imbalances & more. i skimmed thru it real quick but will definitely give it a thorough read l8ter. check it out

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Ticker Hound

@thetickerhound

·

Jun 11, 2021

Just published this piece on #vwapboulevard for @TradingSim blog. Hope community finds it helpful. Feedback welcome. Credit to: @team3dstocks @InvestorsLive @hackertrader (@__shaka_zulu__ I put one of your tweets in here too) https://tradingsim.com/blog/vwap-boulevard/…

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christian wolff

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

im actually blown away by how conscientious some of u fuckers (including this guy) are. Based on this article he must have spent HOURS digging through tweets, because he listed some tweets that even I completely forgot about . some of u guys are fucking scary.. in a good way

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Nope. $AMTX was 80% ADF score. so it was still in the B setup range (80-89% score). Sexy thing about it (other than the neg BV and neg NWC bonus) was the dilution and SEXY volume forecast. It’s not every day we get a perfect reading like this.

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2Times Alex

@2TimesAlex

·

Dec 22, 2020

Replying to @team3dstocks

Was AMTX a 99% today?

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Read my rules on lowfloats. $XBIO didnt gapup big enough so u shouldnt have been short at the open anyway. 2nd, volume forecast warned before the squeeze (as usual), so what do my rules state? wait for shorts to get squeezed & comeback for #vwapBoulevard or 1-3pm #bloodbath setup

Quote Tweet

Michal Mierkowski

@mm98trader

·

Jul 23, 2021

Replying to @team3dstocks

Hey adf, what are you thoughts on float rotation/overcrowdedness/volume forecasting when it comes to this pattern? Is there still edge? Or should one just be really prepared to cut, and flip long if it holds vwapB?

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

So if the volume forecast (how much volume the stock should have at 4pm) is 100M, and early in the day you’re only at 40M, that’s WEAKNESS, even though 40M is actually a big number. Conversely, if the VF is 10M but the stock is already at 8M early in the day, that’s STRENGTH.

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christian wolff

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

How do u trade both scenarios? When volume forecast shows weakness, high chance of alldayfader, so get aggressive. When it shows strength, high chance of fuckboy shit. So let other shorts get squeezed 1st, then attack backside once demand peaks or trend breaks #BearTipOfTheDay

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Followed by some Tweeters you follow

R_S_

@robsmith0199

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

If you don’t mind where do you get your volume forecast script from?

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Replying to

@robsmith0199

I built it myself. Then I had my buddy code it into TOS for me. I have several tweets where I explain how to build your own. please look them up.

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

$SPPI First they decide to tap the ATM without us.. then they decide to close volume literally 100K shares away from the forecast. Talk about a petty company. I’ll get em next time.

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Option & Lowfloat land overview: Options – $ROKU $SQ main players. $ZM side watch $TSLA thesis still intact from ystd (the bagging of the 700C buyers, so avoiding long side until post friday) Lowfloats in play and their ADF scores: $XBIO $NTEC $CNET $RCON $FRAN $USO $GLSI

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

Remember, high ADF score + pussy volume (weak volume forecast by 10am ) = all day fader. Weak ADF score OR strong volume forecast performance by 10am = EXIT, AVOID, & wait for parabolic or late day trendbreak. SAME rules I keep preaching yr after yr. so get bent at ur own risk

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

You cant rate them relative to each other since they serve different purposes. cant compare a point guard to a center Fundamentals help with thesis, winrate, & trade selection. Level 2 helps with timing & executions Volume forecast helps u spot weakness or anticipate squeezes

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Said

@Said_Kadadu_

·

Jul 8, 2020

Replying to @team3dstocks

Can you rate these from in order of most important : 1. Level 2 . 2 volume forecast 3. Fundamentals and understanding filings

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christian wolff

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

But I would say start with charting first. then fundamentals. gotta know what u’re trading. I wouldnt wanna be the guy longing $DRYS back when kalani was dumping shares out the ass. Every technical analysis tool or support level wouldve failed u at that time. then volume, then L2

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

And that’s the goal of my tweets.. to REDUCE ur learning curve. to REDUCE the amount of tuition u have to pay to the market before things finally “click”. So if I can make u learn something in ONE TWEET that took me YEARS & a ridiculous amount of money lost to learn, i did my job https://twitter.com/PaulB_Trades/status/1389860747178557442…

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

u see me talk about PROVEN concepts that sound simple at first.. #vwapBoulevard, bloodbath setup, 1-3pm selloff due to filing requirements, ADF score, volume forecast etc. and u think “gee thanks. that was easy”. but do u have ANY idea how long it took me to crack those things??

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christian wolff

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

~17hr days (~119 hour weeks) stuck in front of screens all day, sifting through charts, reading sec filings all night, plowing through tedious, boring excel sheets. Blowing up account after account. Bc i didnt have the luxury of a mentor. A trader’s learning curve is a BITCH

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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And the reason why that learning curve is so tough is bc there’s SO much BULLSHIT information overload out there. So u’re constantly trying & trying until u eventually figure out what works. Im just trying to make sure u only blow 5 accounts instead of 10.

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

I….love….sheep 🍆🍑

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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If u wouldve told me a yr ago that we’d trade in an era with so much sheep volume, that a stock would trade 104M shares yet only be at 70% of its volume forecast, I wouldve called u a lying fucking cunt. 10-20M used to be the norm. Now we get that premarket alone. Odin be praised

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

Oh and I can mention the ticker now that i’m done with it. For those who are still in it ( $AIHS ) ADF score was 92% Volume Forecast is 150M Targets were $1.55, $1.33 then $1.11, depending on how greedy you wanted to be. #thanksForPlaying

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 J.B. 

@JB__trades

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

We may have produced a similar chart today. 👉👌

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Replying to

@JB__trades

so you were the cunt clogging the sub 1.50 bids. what a hoe.

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 J.B. 

@JB__trades

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

I think the right move for me here is to neither confirm nor deny.

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Hess

@FH_TS_

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

Thanks for always feeding us with some golden nuggets of ya! Were all three targets purely data-based (not taking the daily / premarket chart into account)? At least $1.33 is Ebony, so the other two values coud also be taken relative to it

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Correct. Volume forecast was screaming “accumulation” by 10am. But remember, volume forecast just “warns”, it doesn’t confirm. Only price confirms. For $EYES, we got the volume forecast “warning” at 10am AND the price confirmation (break & hold of jan 26’s vwap ).

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dax50

@dax50

·

Mar 6, 2021

Replying to @team3dstocks

+ VF got obliterated on that break above VWAP as well?

ScriptsToTrade

@scriptstotrade

·

The Volume Forecast indicator is KING of all volume analysis. This technology pioneered by

@team3dstocks

is unlike anything else out there. If you are a small cap trader and are not using a VF, you are at a serious disadvantage. “Non-Gap” update is coming Feb 25th $SOPA $DCFC

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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When I first designed my Volume Forecast it was only for lowfloat gappers (ideally up 40-50% or more). Anything that gapped less than that wasnt worth my time (shouldnt be worth yours either). so it works best on day 1 (or day 2+) gappers, or first red day setups.

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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I get this question a lot. No, surprisingly volume forecast didnt have to adjust a bit even with all this insane volume lately. Reason is because I built it based off velocity, not total amount. so it doesnt matter if volume is 10M or 100M. it’s the rate of increase that matters. https://t.co/60rnVqFrjS

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

So if the volume forecast (how much volume the stock should have at 4pm) is 100M, and early in the day you’re only at 40M, that’s WEAKNESS, even though 40M is actually a big number. Conversely, if the VF is 10M but the stock is already at 8M early in the day, that’s STRENGTH.

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

How do u trade both scenarios? When volume forecast shows weakness, high chance of alldayfader, so get aggressive. When it shows strength, high chance of fuckboy shit. So let other shorts get squeezed 1st, then attack backside once demand peaks or trend breaks

Stan Gluzman

@CiocanaTrader

This trader

@mars10p

Marsten Parker, market wizard, created volume forecast back in 2005

@team3dstocks

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christian wolff

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Stan Gluzman

@CiocanaTrader

·

Replying to

@CiocanaTrader

And an equity curve moving average to manage systems in 2019. I think Idid that around same time, maybe ‘18? 😜

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Replying to

@CiocanaTrader

and

@mars10p

That’s dope! Never heard of him but i’m not surprised. Funds & many MMs have been forecasting volume for years.

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Marsten Parker

@mars10p

·

Replying to

@team3dstocks

and

@CiocanaTrader

My calculations used the average percent of eventual daily volume as of each minute across all stocks in my universe that ended up having 2x average volume that day.

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Stan Gluzman

@CiocanaTrader

·

Replying to

@gstrades

@mars10p

and

@team3dstocks

The unknown market wizards

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Replying to

@mars10p

and

@CiocanaTrader

Interesting approach. I had to use a completely different approach since mine was primarily built for low floats.. where average daily volume is vastly irrelevant due to their pump & dump nature. For large caps it’s another story since they trade a decent amount of volume daily.

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

Careful on $IMMP. ADF score is a C setup at best ( 68% ) so dont fight it. if you insist on trading it, wait for clear weakness (trendbreak on massive volume) or the usual parabolic blowoff move. It’s one of those plays where even if it fades u shouldnt kick yourself for avoiding

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

$IMMP there goes the “trendbreak on massive volume” . Also volume forecast % is currently at 50%, which is too low for current time of day (means the soakers are running into demand issues). So it’s now safe to short all pops under 6.50 with stops at HOD or vwap reclaim

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christian wolff

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

·

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@team3dstocks

$IMMP hope this thread helped. Also volume forecast % is currently at 75% of eod target. (199M versus 267M target). Hope u learned (once again) the importance of: 1)waiting for the RIGHT entry signals 2)using VF to identify when soakers are bagged (experiencing demand issues)

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p

@Patient1Trader

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Replying to

@team3dstocks

Damn this shit is holding dip now

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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Replying to

@Patient1Trader

if you’re still short at this stage you’re just being greedy. the average fade off the highs is about 20%. 25% if you’re lucky. 30% if you’re reaaaally lucky. $IMMP faded 34% off the highs. more than enough to lock in your profits and leave it alone.

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Kendizzle

@dizzzle80

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Replying to

@team3dstocks

Very helpful Thank you! I’m @ 6.61 avg atm

Kam

@kamversa

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Replying to

@team3dstocks

Reversal highly likely given the volume

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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No, Volume forecast should be a static number for THAT day. That’s the whole point; u’re trying to compare forecasted volume with current volume to see if manipulators are up to fuckboy shit. Example if forecasted volume for let’s say 10 am is 20M & the stock is already at 30M,

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

(at that time), then that’s a sign that SOMEONE is soaking shares. So a squeeze is coming. Or let’s say the volume forecast for the entire day is 50M shares, and by 10am u’re already at 40M, again, that’s telling u that someone is soaking shares & locking the float.

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christian wolff

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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@team3dstocks

Remember, it is VIRTUALLY impossible for a manipulator to lock the float & instigate a shortsqueeze without first disrupting the expected volume that the stock was supposed to trade that day. That’s why VF is such a dead giveaway that a squeeze is coming (or not) #BearTipOfTheDay

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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$WISA soaker cant eat a dick though

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

$WISA Volume forecast was too high for my liking so I bailed at -1/2R. didnt even wait for -1R stop to hit. zero patience once VF is 60% or higher by 10am. squeeze away bitch.

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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Be careful. if u check my rules for alldayfaders u know im not a big fan of stocks that didnt gap up huge & are crushing their volume forecast by 10am. $VTVT ‘s VF is 34.6M, & it’s already at 41M. too risky. Wait for #vwapBoulevard $3.89 to fail, or for the usual 1-3pm selloff https://t.co/zJk4tcEBVJ

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

$VTVT and now every single shortseller since premarket is staring at a negative unrealized PNL. dont say i didnt warn u. the data doesnt lie. Volume forecast doesnt either Move out of the way & wait to see if #vwapBoulevard rejects or not. dont try to anticiipate it either. WAIT

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christian wolff

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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@team3dstocks

$VTVT that was a #vwapBoulevard rejection (12 cents away) .. and we’re also approaching the 1-3pm end of day selloff zone. so wait for a retest and fail of the 3.50-3.70 area (to avoid bear traps), and if it stays heavy/fails under there = drop the hammer 🔨

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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$VTVT Ideal target is the usual 5min 200ma (ideal target for all lowfloat short setups). Stop loss is above #vwapBoulevard (above $3.89) . DO NOT fight it if it reclaims that level. Also since it was manipulated midday, dont hold it overnight (u should never hold a LF o/n anyway)

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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Careful on $IMMP. ADF score is a C setup at best ( 68% ) so dont fight it. if you insist on trading it, wait for clear weakness (trendbreak on massive volume) or the usual parabolic blowoff move. It’s one of those plays where even if it fades u shouldnt kick yourself for avoiding

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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$IMMP there goes the “trendbreak on massive volume” . Also volume forecast % is currently at 50%, which is too low for current time of day (means the soakers are running into demand issues). So it’s now safe to short all pops under 6.50 with stops at HOD or vwap reclaim

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

$IMMP hope this thread helped. Also volume forecast % is currently at 75% of eod target. (199M versus 267M target). Hope u learned (once again) the importance of: 1)waiting for the RIGHT entry signals 2)using VF to identify when soakers are bagged (experiencing demand issues)

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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Underwriters & manipulators use the same dirty tricks all the time. They dont need to change their tactics b/c most traders have been taught to ignore fundamentals anyway. examp if it’s a big ATM & they’re expecting low volume, 95% of the time they’ll gap it up & dump at the open

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CavemanTrades

@cavemantrading

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May 10, 2020

Replying to @team3dstocks

What makes your conviction strong that they will dillute THAT day, instead of running it up multidays before dumping. If they have the option + vol to pull it off. First green day faders is somthing I’m still working hard to figure out.

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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So on those u wanna be early, with ur set risk levels, and not afraid to remove liquidity (slam the bid) or chances are u wont get filled at all. those are some of the best faders b/c its pure tankage right out of the gate, and many shorts are clogging the offers waiting for pops

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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In other scenarios, for examp if they’re close to their freedom price, need to raise the baby shelf ceiling, or need to put warrants/converts in the money etc, 90% of the time they ll squeeze it higher first and try to close as high as possible. On those u DONT want to be early

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

Those are usually the multi day runs or the late day faders. Volume forecast would save my ASS on those b/c it is the earliest warning sign that they’re up to fuckboy shit, since they cant prop the stock higher without first accumulating shares (which raises volume WAY too fast)

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christian wolff

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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@team3dstocks

I can go on and on about the different tricks they use and when they use them, but at the end of the day those are all just tools to help u frame ur thesis & increase ur RR or winrate. You can know all this and still blow up. Execution is far more important than the thesis itself

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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So instead of obsessing about what they’re up to, first focus on mastering ur setups & risk management skills. Trading should be applying fundamental analysis (F.A) to increase the winrate of ur TECHNICAL setups, not using F.A to justify stubborn trades. #BearTipOfTheDay

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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$EQ has a ADF score of 76%. Not horrible but definitely not in the category that makes me wet. In fact if they didnt have a shelf it wouldnt even be on my list. But what broke the camel’s back was that horrible volume forecast earlier today. Currently at 656% of its 4pm target.

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Said

@Said_Kadadu_

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Jul 13, 2020

@team3dstocks what’s up with that hoe $EQ though ?

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

$WISA no. When a stock has a high ADF score I expect an alldayfader at the open. If it doesnt AND volume is rising faster than usual (relative to its forecast), I downsize or exit the trade immediately. I ONLY re-enter IF: -soaker squeezes morning shorts out -it’s the afternoon

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Fasque

@FasqueLaw

·

Nov 10, 2020

Replying to @team3dstocks

okay so question, for situation like WISA today, would you go after lower highs on a bounce?

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christian wolff

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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@team3dstocks

$WISA hasnt done those 2 things, so 0 interest from me. I dont compromise when it comes to the rules of my setup. Neither should you. Airplane Pilots have pre-flight checklists for a reason. They dont say “hmm this checklist item is missing but fuck it let’s take off anyway”

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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@_spikeet

revolutionized the game for u mofos. check em out. and no im not paid to promote em. if anything im lowkey jealous that u guys can now access data in seconds, that used to take me MONTHS of all-nighters to collect & track MANUALLY. To put it in perspective:

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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My spreadsheets had 10-30+ columns per ticker (row) depending on what I was tracking. then 100s to 1000s of rows , and each ticker took me 8 to 20 minutes to manually fill across, so about 10min per row. Do the math. Sometimes my friends would stay up all night with me to help

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

but that didnt last long b/c they got bored/burned out super quick lol Then at one point I tried to get my GF to help (especially with when I was creating the lowfloat Volume Forecast). But after 2 days she quit too lol. And i dont blame her, it was tedious & boring as FUCK.

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christian wolff

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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@team3dstocks

Eventually it all paid off, but I spent years populating spreadsheets that u guys can now generate in SECONDS. let that sink in. YEARS vs SECONDS. Imagine if i had that power back then at my fingertips. So yeah, take full advantage of those mofos. u have no clue how lucky u are.

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

I tweeted at 3:32pm yesterday that i wasn’t interested in $EQ b/c of its low ADF score (only 76%) and its super high volume relative to its forecast. Which means u step back & let shorts get squeezed first. 3min after that tweet it squeezed to $30. Shelf is not everything.

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waiting

@BangCapTrading

·

Jul 14, 2020

Replying to @team3dstocks

went to the mooooonnnn . They didn’t need cash . Shelf doesn’t matter. In this case

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ALT

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christian wolff

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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@team3dstocks

also due to abundant misinformation, most have no clue how a shelf works . They think just b/c a stock has a shelf = instant intraday dilution. They confuse “shelf” with ATM. those are 2 completely different things. I have a whole tread explaining the difference.

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Shaka

@__shaka_zulu__

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MAJOR shout out to

@team3dstocks

for all the YEARS of nuggets that he’s dropped to help others without asking for ANYTHING in return. I was able to build my own volume forecast from his insights and that info has kept me out of HEADACHE after HEADACHE. Here’s $XBIO today

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John Doomer

@TradersRequiem

Huge s/o to

@team3dstocks

for introducing the idea of volume forecast. Ever since I implemented my own VF model for the year 2021 my stress has dramatically decreased and my profit factor has never looked better. Here’s a comparison between 2020 and 2021

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christian wolff

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John Doomer

@TradersRequiem

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@TradersRequiem

Just to show off my model a bit

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Drob8

@Drob814

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Time to update the Volume forecast script with the latest Volume behavior in low floaters. #volumeforecast there has definitely been a decrease in volume compared to 2020. #markets

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Karan Khanna

@karanakhanna25

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@team3dstocks

thanks a lot again for all your tweets on #volumeforecast. I was able to go through all your tweets and reverse engineer them and come up with my own forecasting model. So far backtesting is showing great results. Will soon code it on my charting platform. You Rock!

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Karan Khanna

@karanakhanna25

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Replying to

@karanakhanna25

Also, a big shout out to

@hackertrader

. His blog helped a great deal.

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Spikeet.com

@_spikeet

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If we take for example the #VolumeForecast we’re going to release, it’ll have a few main advantages: – Indicator was test on our platform’s high-quality datasets. – You’ll be able to choose b/w a month/ use vs. lifetime – Everyday the indicator will be optimized with new data.

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Spikeet.com

@_spikeet

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Oct 17, 2021

We are excited to announce on a new partnership with @hackertrader !!! Our vision will be to deliver high-quality indicators & tools for all of you traders out there, utilizing our top-notch data platform on one hand and Niv’s amazing analysis and ideas on the other!

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https://usethinkscript.com/threads/volume-forecast-vf-indicator-for-thinkorswim.307/

https://scriptstotrade.com/product/suscription/

AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

$TEUM all day fader volume forecast strikes yet again. turd stock fails to meet expected demand = algos and smart money start to dump. when shitty fundamentals (high adf score) line up with fading demand, my conviction sky rockets. #volume #isEverything

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christian wolff

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allansteveo

@allansteveo

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@team3dstocks

where do you pull the volume forecast data from?

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AllDayFaders

@team3dstocks

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Replying to

@allansteveo

Pull? I wish. good old painful, tedious, excel manual tracking. good thing is its one of those things u slave to do once, then it pays u in dividends for the rest of ur career.

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